Divisional Round Playoff Passing Props Brock Purdy Passing Touchdowns
Brock Purdy has 31 passing touchdowns this year, of which 19 came in his last eight games. And in those eight games he threw for multiple touchdowns on six occasions.
The Packers were about mid-pack in their pass defense this season ranking 14th in yards allowed per game. In the first nine games they only allowed an opposing QB to throw for multiple touchdowns once. However, in their past nine games an opposing QB has thrown for multiple TDs five times.
This includes three TDs from Dak Prescott last week. In also includes two from Bryce Young in Week 16 and four from Mayfield in Week 15.
While several books have seen the juice rise on Purdy s TD passes to over -200, FanDuel still has the best price I found at -198.
NFL Player Prop Picks: Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-198); risk 1 unit at FanDuel
Divisional Round Playoff Rushing Props Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Josh Allen may have exploded for 74 yards rushing on just eight carries last week but 52 of those yards came on one run. While he s been basically at or over a rushing prop total of 45.5 yards each of the past three games (74, 67, 44), he s still only gone over 45.5 four times this season and once was just barely, finishing with 46 yards.
When the Chiefs and Bills last met up, Allen rushed ten times for 32 yards and a touchdown. Those 32 yards are just the third-most yards the Chiefs have allowed to QBs from a rushing standpoint all season. Only Justin Fields with 44 yards in Week 3 and Easton Stick with 77 yards in Week 18, a meaningless game, have rushed for more. Meaning only twice this season has a QB run for over 45.5 yards versus the Chiefs.
Allen s rushing prop has dipped slightly to 42.5 or 43.5 at some books, but an alternate total of 45.5 is available at ESPN Sportsbook.
NFL Player Prop Picks: Josh Allen under 45.5 rushing yards (-135), risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Divisional Round Playoff Rushing Props Aaron Jones Rushing Attempts
It s unlikely Packers RB Aaron Jones replicates his three-TD performance against the Cowboys again this weekend against the 49ers third-ranked run defense.
But he also rushed for 118 yards on 21 carries, and feeding Jones the rock since he returned from injury has been a recipe for success for Matt LaFleur and the Packers.
In the last four games Jones has made 21, 22, 20 and 21 rush attempts, for 118, 111, 120 and 127 yards—all Packers wins.
NFL Player Prop Picks: Aaron Jones over 16.5 rushing attempts (+100); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
